Sakwan Barkley, who is the most back-to-back rookie from Reggie Bush, is facing an interesting stage in the history of the NFL. Nowadays, running back is no longer a "priority first choice" for all teams in the draft. Each team's management is more inclined to use high-priority draft picks, pick a quarterback, offensive tackle, rusher or wide receiver. At the same time, the ability of the runners to pass the ball is generally weak, making us unwilling to choose the running back with a high pick. But there is one player exception, he is Sakwan - Barkley.
According to the "runback prediction" rule of ESPN on the specific ranking of the 2018 NBA Draft Runner, Barkley disdains.
"Runback Forecast" analysis method:
The "runback forecast" refers to all selected college footballs in the first-level league half-season between 1998 and 2016, and conducts data analysis through these metrics:
1. The weight of the rookie player in the NFL combined test
2. The rookie player scored 40 yards in the NFL combined test. If the player does not participate in the program during the test, "runback prediction" will use his data on professional player days.
3. The number of propulsion players that the rookie player averaged for each rush. If the number of possessions of the player does not reach the average of the selected running back, the data will be appropriately adjusted.
4. The ground offensive participation rate of the rookie player: The proportion of the team participating in the ground attack during the rookie period was compared with the proportion of a rookie average who participated in the ground attack of the team in the same year.
5. The rookie player averaged the number of goals per game during the college career.
1. Saketwan-Buckley Penn State Nittany Lions
"Runback Prediction" rating: +181.9%
Runback type: catch the ball
Similar Historical Players: Rich-Williams, Radanen-Tomlinson
Analysis: As an extremely concerned player, Barkley also received an excellent "runaway prediction" rating. In fact, he has become the player with the second highest rating in the "runaway prediction" history rating, and is also less than 10% from Richie Williams (+190.1%), which is ranked first in history.
Buckley's ability to get such a high predictive score is due to the perfect combination of body size and speed. In the "runaway prediction" database, Barkley is the heaviest player in the 40-yard sprint run that takes less than 4.40 seconds.
In addition, Barkley is more than just a warrior on the training ground. When Barkley was a freshman, Penn State allowed him to participate in 42.8% of the team's ground attack. In each subsequent season, Barkley's ground attack participation rate exceeded 50%. Since the performance of a player can be observed in both the training field and the game day, the coach is the one who knows the talent of the player best. Any competitive coach (and most uncompetitive coaches) will give offense opportunities to the most talented player on the team. Barkley's coach not only gave him a lot of offensive opportunities, but his past experience shows that the coach's trust in him is a positive signal for his future success.
The weakest link in Barkley's forecast data is the average number of yards per ball push. Although its 5.73-yard data has exceeded the average of all rookies, this is not the same as the fact that his other data is significantly above the average. However, it is reassuring that Barkley is also very likely to become an efficient pass target.
Although Barkley's prediction score is extremely high, the teams cannot ignore the risk of choosing the running back in the first round of high rankings. Even though Barkley's data indicators are all excellent, he also has the possibility of becoming a slush player. However, it is hard to imagine that there will be a player with a better prospect than Saskatchewan-Buckley in the running position.
2. Royce Freeman University of Oregon Ducks
"Runback Prediction" Rating: +88.1%
Runback Type: Balance
Similar Historical Players: Michael Turner, Kevin Jones
Analysis: In the last year's draft, three excellent runners received a very close "runaway prediction" rating. They are: Leonard - Fornett, Darwin - Cook and Joe - Mikeson. However, Freeman, who is ranked second in the "Running Forecast" rating this year, has a huge gap with Barkley. This also shows that Freeman is a promising rookie and has been seriously underestimated as a midfield player.
As an attacking generalist, Freeman participated in a large number of attacks at the University of Oregon. At the same time, his body and speed are also very well combined. What's more worth mentioning is that the average number of yards per ball advancement is even higher than that of Barkley.
3. Delius-Gaith Louisiana State University Tigers
"Runback Prediction" Rating: +86.8%
Runback type: focus on physical confrontation and ground offensive
Similar Historical Players: Jamal Lewis, Rasad Mendenhall
Analysis: Geis will be selected at the end of the first round or early in the second round. His offensive assignment during the college period was very heavy. It is worth mentioning that during the 2016-17 season, he competed with Leonard Fornett for the main running back. Gass got a lot from limited playing opportunities and averaged 6.4 yards per possession. This figure is in the top few of the current rookie back runners.
Gass's short board comes from his ability to catch the ball. He only averaged more than 7 yards per game, and his size was larger than a "average" running back. Both of these points are negative signals of their career catching ability.
4. Rasad Penny San Diego State University Aztecs
"Runback Prediction" Rating: +81.0%
Runback type: Balance / focus on physical confrontation and ground attack
Similar Historical Players: Melvin Gordon, Tywin Coleman
Analysis: From the perspective of the "runaway prediction" rating, Penny may be the most promising player in the current rookie backcourt outside of Barkley. Penny averaged 7.37 yards per possession (adjusted), ranking second in history in the "runaway forecast" database. Penny's body and speed are also outstanding. As a big back runner with a weight of 100.7 kilograms, his running speed was comparable to that of a 91.6 kilogram running back (40 yards sprint run: 4.46 seconds).
However, since Penny's offensive participation rate during the college period was relatively low, his score was also greatly affected. In fact, he is the player in the "runaway prediction" database, which is the player who has the greatest difference between the number of push balls per run (adjusted) and college attack. Until the fourth grade, Penny had not been able to become the number one back runner of the Aztecs. The Philadelphia Eagles' running back Donnel Panfred was the biggest obstacle to Penny's chance of getting offensive.
There are some indications that the San Diego State University's coaching staff may have made a mistake on the issue of "who is the better back runner in the team." In his college career, Penny scored the highest number of yards per game per season. Especially in his third year, he averaged more than 1 yard per possession more than Panfredo. In fact, if you carefully follow the San Diego State University's back-to-back rotation, you will find that the team's coach is more willing to hand over the ball to an experienced player (in the second year of the season at Penny University, the team’s The main running back is fourth-year player Christian Press. If this hypothesis holds, then Penny’s talent is actually much higher than his university's offensive participation rate reflects.
In general, Penny's "runback prediction" rating is quite good. We also have enough reason to believe that the only project that lowers its overall score does not fully demonstrate his true ability.
5. Nick Chab University of Georgia Bulldogs
"Runback Prediction" rating: +76.2%
Runback type: focus on physical confrontation and ground offensive
Similar Historical Players: Jonathan Stuart, Oman Green
Analysis: See Sony-Michel analysis
6. Ronald Jones II University of Southern California Trojans
Runback Prediction score: +60.0%
Runback Type: Balance
Similar Historical Players: Lawrence Maloney, Jordan Howard
Analysis: Ronald Jones undertook an extremely heavy offensive mission while playing at the University of Southern California. As a third-year player, Jones participated in 52% of the team's ground attack, while the history of the selected third-year offensive participation rate was only 36.5%. Whenever Jones holds the ball offense, his performance is full of explosiveness, with an average of more than 6 yards per push.
However, Jones's short stature and his uncanny ability to catch the ball in college made him lose his overall score.
7. Sony-Michel University of Georgia Bulldogs
"Runback Prediction" Rating: +16.8%
Runback Type: Balance
Similar Historical Players: Ryan Williams, Sean Willing
Analysis: Chab and Mildell were all players at the University of Georgia. Therefore, we decided to put the two together. Authoritative scouts have predicted that Mitchell will be selected in the first round and Chab will become a second-rounder or third-rounder. However, from the point of view of "runback forecast", Chab will be a more promising player because he defeated Mildler in all the indicators of "runback prediction".
Chabby Mimi bears more offensive responsibilities and no other factor has caused this to happen. In fact, if Chab did not miss the second half of the Pit Bulls team's 2015 season due to a knee injury, the gap between the two will be even greater. The coaches of the University of Georgia are observing the performance of the two during training every day and have a clear preference for Chab. In the complete health of Chab, he can get more than 60 ball games each season than Mizuel. Chab’s promotion efficiency per possession of the ball is even better than that of Mitchell.
Chab also has an advantage in size and speed: He weighs 5.9 kilos more than Milor, and the 40-yard sprint run takes less time (4.52 seconds vs 4.54 seconds).
The running back forecast is one-sided and does not represent the real strength of a player. Therefore, you should not be surprised when they play an incredible performance on the teams. This is something they can do.
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According to the "runback prediction" rule of ESPN on the specific ranking of the 2018 NBA Draft Runner, Barkley disdains.
"Runback Forecast" analysis method:
The "runback forecast" refers to all selected college footballs in the first-level league half-season between 1998 and 2016, and conducts data analysis through these metrics:
1. The weight of the rookie player in the NFL combined test
2. The rookie player scored 40 yards in the NFL combined test. If the player does not participate in the program during the test, "runback prediction" will use his data on professional player days.
3. The number of propulsion players that the rookie player averaged for each rush. If the number of possessions of the player does not reach the average of the selected running back, the data will be appropriately adjusted.
4. The ground offensive participation rate of the rookie player: The proportion of the team participating in the ground attack during the rookie period was compared with the proportion of a rookie average who participated in the ground attack of the team in the same year.
5. The rookie player averaged the number of goals per game during the college career.
1. Saketwan-Buckley Penn State Nittany Lions
"Runback Prediction" rating: +181.9%
Runback type: catch the ball
Similar Historical Players: Rich-Williams, Radanen-Tomlinson
Analysis: As an extremely concerned player, Barkley also received an excellent "runaway prediction" rating. In fact, he has become the player with the second highest rating in the "runaway prediction" history rating, and is also less than 10% from Richie Williams (+190.1%), which is ranked first in history.
Buckley's ability to get such a high predictive score is due to the perfect combination of body size and speed. In the "runaway prediction" database, Barkley is the heaviest player in the 40-yard sprint run that takes less than 4.40 seconds.
In addition, Barkley is more than just a warrior on the training ground. When Barkley was a freshman, Penn State allowed him to participate in 42.8% of the team's ground attack. In each subsequent season, Barkley's ground attack participation rate exceeded 50%. Since the performance of a player can be observed in both the training field and the game day, the coach is the one who knows the talent of the player best. Any competitive coach (and most uncompetitive coaches) will give offense opportunities to the most talented player on the team. Barkley's coach not only gave him a lot of offensive opportunities, but his past experience shows that the coach's trust in him is a positive signal for his future success.
The weakest link in Barkley's forecast data is the average number of yards per ball push. Although its 5.73-yard data has exceeded the average of all rookies, this is not the same as the fact that his other data is significantly above the average. However, it is reassuring that Barkley is also very likely to become an efficient pass target.
Although Barkley's prediction score is extremely high, the teams cannot ignore the risk of choosing the running back in the first round of high rankings. Even though Barkley's data indicators are all excellent, he also has the possibility of becoming a slush player. However, it is hard to imagine that there will be a player with a better prospect than Saskatchewan-Buckley in the running position.
2. Royce Freeman University of Oregon Ducks
"Runback Prediction" Rating: +88.1%
Runback Type: Balance
Similar Historical Players: Michael Turner, Kevin Jones
Analysis: In the last year's draft, three excellent runners received a very close "runaway prediction" rating. They are: Leonard - Fornett, Darwin - Cook and Joe - Mikeson. However, Freeman, who is ranked second in the "Running Forecast" rating this year, has a huge gap with Barkley. This also shows that Freeman is a promising rookie and has been seriously underestimated as a midfield player.
As an attacking generalist, Freeman participated in a large number of attacks at the University of Oregon. At the same time, his body and speed are also very well combined. What's more worth mentioning is that the average number of yards per ball advancement is even higher than that of Barkley.
3. Delius-Gaith Louisiana State University Tigers
"Runback Prediction" Rating: +86.8%
Runback type: focus on physical confrontation and ground offensive
Similar Historical Players: Jamal Lewis, Rasad Mendenhall
Analysis: Geis will be selected at the end of the first round or early in the second round. His offensive assignment during the college period was very heavy. It is worth mentioning that during the 2016-17 season, he competed with Leonard Fornett for the main running back. Gass got a lot from limited playing opportunities and averaged 6.4 yards per possession. This figure is in the top few of the current rookie back runners.
Gass's short board comes from his ability to catch the ball. He only averaged more than 7 yards per game, and his size was larger than a "average" running back. Both of these points are negative signals of their career catching ability.
4. Rasad Penny San Diego State University Aztecs
"Runback Prediction" Rating: +81.0%
Runback type: Balance / focus on physical confrontation and ground attack
Similar Historical Players: Melvin Gordon, Tywin Coleman
Analysis: From the perspective of the "runaway prediction" rating, Penny may be the most promising player in the current rookie backcourt outside of Barkley. Penny averaged 7.37 yards per possession (adjusted), ranking second in history in the "runaway forecast" database. Penny's body and speed are also outstanding. As a big back runner with a weight of 100.7 kilograms, his running speed was comparable to that of a 91.6 kilogram running back (40 yards sprint run: 4.46 seconds).
However, since Penny's offensive participation rate during the college period was relatively low, his score was also greatly affected. In fact, he is the player in the "runaway prediction" database, which is the player who has the greatest difference between the number of push balls per run (adjusted) and college attack. Until the fourth grade, Penny had not been able to become the number one back runner of the Aztecs. The Philadelphia Eagles' running back Donnel Panfred was the biggest obstacle to Penny's chance of getting offensive.
There are some indications that the San Diego State University's coaching staff may have made a mistake on the issue of "who is the better back runner in the team." In his college career, Penny scored the highest number of yards per game per season. Especially in his third year, he averaged more than 1 yard per possession more than Panfredo. In fact, if you carefully follow the San Diego State University's back-to-back rotation, you will find that the team's coach is more willing to hand over the ball to an experienced player (in the second year of the season at Penny University, the team’s The main running back is fourth-year player Christian Press. If this hypothesis holds, then Penny’s talent is actually much higher than his university's offensive participation rate reflects.
In general, Penny's "runback prediction" rating is quite good. We also have enough reason to believe that the only project that lowers its overall score does not fully demonstrate his true ability.
5. Nick Chab University of Georgia Bulldogs
"Runback Prediction" rating: +76.2%
Runback type: focus on physical confrontation and ground offensive
Similar Historical Players: Jonathan Stuart, Oman Green
Analysis: See Sony-Michel analysis
6. Ronald Jones II University of Southern California Trojans
Runback Prediction score: +60.0%
Runback Type: Balance
Similar Historical Players: Lawrence Maloney, Jordan Howard
Analysis: Ronald Jones undertook an extremely heavy offensive mission while playing at the University of Southern California. As a third-year player, Jones participated in 52% of the team's ground attack, while the history of the selected third-year offensive participation rate was only 36.5%. Whenever Jones holds the ball offense, his performance is full of explosiveness, with an average of more than 6 yards per push.
However, Jones's short stature and his uncanny ability to catch the ball in college made him lose his overall score.
7. Sony-Michel University of Georgia Bulldogs
"Runback Prediction" Rating: +16.8%
Runback Type: Balance
Similar Historical Players: Ryan Williams, Sean Willing
Analysis: Chab and Mildell were all players at the University of Georgia. Therefore, we decided to put the two together. Authoritative scouts have predicted that Mitchell will be selected in the first round and Chab will become a second-rounder or third-rounder. However, from the point of view of "runback forecast", Chab will be a more promising player because he defeated Mildler in all the indicators of "runback prediction".
Chabby Mimi bears more offensive responsibilities and no other factor has caused this to happen. In fact, if Chab did not miss the second half of the Pit Bulls team's 2015 season due to a knee injury, the gap between the two will be even greater. The coaches of the University of Georgia are observing the performance of the two during training every day and have a clear preference for Chab. In the complete health of Chab, he can get more than 60 ball games each season than Mizuel. Chab’s promotion efficiency per possession of the ball is even better than that of Mitchell.
Chab also has an advantage in size and speed: He weighs 5.9 kilos more than Milor, and the 40-yard sprint run takes less time (4.52 seconds vs 4.54 seconds).
The running back forecast is one-sided and does not represent the real strength of a player. Therefore, you should not be surprised when they play an incredible performance on the teams. This is something they can do.
If you’re a huge fan of Madden NFL 18, a popular American sports video game featuring football inspired by the National Football League, then you’re probably looking for more ways to get Madden 18 Coins.
Lolga has a professional service team that will ensure the safe delivery of your coins. They also have a great Customer Service that can help you with any problems you have in your purchase. Their professional team is available 24/7 to ensure that you have the help you need.
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